The effort to extend Trans Visibility Day into another news cycle is a good opportunity to point out that Donald Trump’s religious support isn’t as robust as he thinks.
The Easter holiday, the most sacred on the Christian calendar, lands on a different date each year. This year it fell on March 31, a datefour occasions. Ever since, right-wing media — and particularly Fox News — has been up in arms at the idea that Biden would acknowledge Trans Visibility Day on Trans Visibility Day, given that it was also Easter., a weekly dive into the data behind the news.
We can see, for example, Trump won most of the Protestant vote in 2016 and 2020, and about half the Catholic vote in each year. His Democratic opponents — Biden in 2020 and Hillary Clinton in 2016 — won more of the vote from members of other religious traditions and religiously unaffiliated voters. In 2020, a bit over a third of the electorate — 37 percent or so — were Christians who voted for Trump. Twenty-nine percent were Christians who voted for Biden or a third-party candidate.
But of course, Trump isn’t talking about Black Christians. His support in 2020, PRRI found, was highly correlated to the number ofin the national conversation, as it did in 2016. He means Christian conservatives, a group that has voted for him loyally in each of his previous presidential runs.Of course, this rhetoric is also rooted in the idea that Christians don’t already have a powerful, audible voice, which they do.
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