Sudan conflict: what’s at stake for its neighbours?

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Sudan conflict: what’s at stake for its neighbours?
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Concerns range from shared Nile waters and oil pipelines to the shape of a new government and a new humanitarian crisis in the making

Picture: REUTERSMOHAMED NURELDIN ABDALLAH

The fighting that erupted between the army and paramilitary Rapid Support Forces on April 15 in Khartoum has derailed an internationally backed plan for a transition to civilian rule after the ousting in 2019 of Omar al Bashir, the Islamist president who had himself seized power in a 1989 coup. Sudan has also been a departure point and a transit route for migrants seeking to head to Europe via Libya, where people traffickers have taken advantage of the conflict and political turmoil.— Sudan’s western neighbour Chad, a poor nation which hosts about 400,000 displaced Sudanese from previous conflicts, has seen about 20,000 more refugees arrive from Sudan since the latest fighting began, according to the UN.

Investors from both countries have deals to invest in a range of projects from agricultural projects, where Sudan holds vast potential based on large irrigated areas, to an airline and strategic ports on its Red Sea coast.— South Sudan, which seceded from Sudan in 2011 after a civil war lasting decades, exports its oil output of 170,000 barrels per day via a pipeline through its northern neighbour.

Ethiopia will also be watching developments given tensions over the $4bn GERD dam, which Sudan says could present a threat to its own Nile dams and its citizens.— Sudan hosts more than 134,000 refugees and asylum seekers from Eritrea and is the main route for Eritreans fleeing forced conscription by Asmara government’s repressive rule.

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