South African President Ramaphosa's Grip on Power Weakened by Fragile Coalition

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South African President Ramaphosa's Grip on Power Weakened by Fragile Coalition
Cyril RamaphosaSouth AfricaCoalition Government
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President Cyril Ramaphosa's presidency hangs in the balance as his coalition government faces a potential collapse, raising concerns about South Africa's political stability.

South Africa n President Cyril Ramaphosa 's fragile coalition government faces significant challenges, casting uncertainty over his presidency and the nation's political future. The governing National Unity Government (GNU), a coalition of parties, is teetering on the brink of collapse. This precarious situation threatens not only Ramaphosa's leadership but also the stability of South Africa 's political landscape.

The GNU currently enjoys a comfortable majority with 272 seats in Parliament, while the African National Congress (ANC), Ramaphosa's party, holds 159 seats. However, this majority could evaporate if the Democratic Alliance (DA), with 87 seats, were to withdraw its support. Numerous other political parties, including the Movement for the Economic Empowerment (MK), the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), and the Freedom Front Plus (VF+), are poised to capitalize on any potential instability within the GNU. A collapse of the GNU could lead to a minority government reliant on fragile alliances and case-by-case voting support. For instance, the DA has expressed reservations about supporting next month's budget vote due to Ramaphosa's unilateral approach to the Expropriation Act. This hesitation could create an opportunity for the MK to potentially back the budget, but only under certain conditions. The MK could demand Ramaphosa's removal as a prerequisite for their support on crucial issues. Notably, both the MK and the EFF oppose the Expropriation Act in its current form, deeming it insufficiently radical. Furthermore, the DA has voiced its disapproval of the proposed National Health Insurance Bill, which seeks to abolish private medical insurance. This growing discord within the GNU, coupled with Ramaphosa's handling of contentious legislation, has heightened tensions and fueled speculation about the government's future

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Cyril Ramaphosa South Africa Coalition Government Political Instability Expropriation Act National Health Insurance

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