Russia is becoming a political millstone around Xi Jinping’s neck
Nine days after Russia invaded Ukraine last year, Hu Wei – a leading scholar and researcher serving as the vice-chairman of a think tank linked to China’s State Council, the country’s chief administrative authority – urged Xi Jinping to move away from Russia and toward the United States.
Mr. Hu’s policy advice wasn’t ultimately adopted, but his predictions have been proved correct. He has now published aon the anniversary of the invasion, retracting nothing. China, he writes, is “in a dilemma with not much room to manoeuvre politically.” Should it abandon Mr. Putin’s regime, or supply the weapons and money Russia needs if it is to avoid defeat?
The consequences of this for Mr. Xi personally must give him nightmares. His opponents at home and abroad will never let the world forget that he met with Mr. Putin to reaffirm their “friendship without limits” just 20 days before the invasion. According tosenior Chinese officials suggested at the time that Russia delay its “special military operation” until after the Beijing Olympics.
But Mr. Hu dismissed it: “The position paper consists of 12 points, all of which consistently echoed China’s previous viewpoints on the Russo-Ukraine confrontation, including proposing a ceasefire, jumpstarting negotiation and opposing the use or the threat to use nuclear weapons. Yet the paper contains no specific implementation plan or any operational measures,” he wrote.
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