One in four people with HIV not on treatment - new estimates
These are based on new figures released by the Thembisa model which presents a synthesis of the best sources of data of HIV in South Africa.
The new figures were particularly keenly anticipated since they factor in numbers from both Statistic South Africa's Census 2022 and the Human Sciences Research Council's Sixth South African National HIV Prevalence, Incidence and Behaviour survey. Of the roughly two million people living with HIV who are not on treatment, half were thus previously on treatment. This suggests that helping and supporting people to start and stay on HIV treatment should be a high priority for the Department of Health.
As with other indicators, the sex differences are stark. There were around 91 000 new HIV infections in women aged 15 and older, compared to 50 000 in men in the same age group. South Africa is on track to meet the first of these three targets with an estimated 95.4% of people living with HIV in 2023 having been diagnosed.
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