The virus emerged in December, two people have died and it has been detected in three countries.
The virus has caused pneumonia in some patients and been fatal in two of them.Dr Jeremy Farrar, director of the Wellcome medical research charity, said:"There is more to come from this epidemic.
"Uncertainty and gaps remain, but it's clear that there is some level of person-to-person transmission. "We are starting to hear of more cases in China and other countries and it is likely, as this modelling shows, that there will be many more cases, in a number of countries." Prof Jonathan Ball, from the University of Nottingham, said:"What's really important is until there has been widespread laboratory testing it is very difficult to put a real number on the cases out there.
"But this is a figure we should take seriously until we know otherwise, 41 animal-to-human 'spillovers' is stretching it a bit and there probably is more underlying infection than has been detected so far."
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