When considering Ukraine’s security status for the long term, “the focus should be on how to embed Ukraine firmly in the Euro-Atlantic security architecture”, argues FabricePothier. In a guest essay, he outlines two ways to do so
may be buzzing, but the mood in Kyiv is downbeat these days. True, Ukrainians have made it through a winter that brought the economy and society to the brink. The Ukrainian army is holding against grinding Russian pressure. Yet the message from some Western leaders, that Ukraine cannot expect much more support after its spring offensive, seems to have sunk in.
Instead, the focus should be on how to embed Ukraine firmly in the Euro-Atlantic security architecture. For that there are two choices: bespoke security guarantees ormembership. However, these are not mutually exclusive. They are potentially complementary, with the former being a bridge to the latter.
To be credible those guarantees would need support from a coalition of states. This would be composed mostly ofmembers but could also include other partners committed to Ukraine’s self-defence, such as Australia and Japan. All signatories would agree to provide defensive support to Ukraine, ranging from weapons supply and training to intelligence-sharing.
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