China-Russia ties continue to flourish under Presidents Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin. The Ukraine war and the upcoming US presidential election won’t change that, says Benjamin Ho from the S Rajaratnam School of International Studies.
Russia n President Vladimir Putin with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a meeting in Beijing, China May 16, 2024. Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russia n counterpart Vladimir Putin
Consequently, the economic crises faced by the United States and the long, drawn-out war on terror would also have framed both leaders’ calculations about the sustainability of Western global leadership - and importantly, whether their countries are entitled to have a greater say and share of the making of global norms and international rules.
Third, as a result of Western sanctions, Moscow has been reliant on China to keep its economy going. In April, China imported 9.26 million metric tons of oil from Russia, up from 5.41 million metric tons in February 2022, a 72 per cent increase. The ability to procure cheap oil from Moscow is crucial for Beijing given its own sky-rocketing energy needs over the years.
The United States presidential election in November could be a gamechanger for the Ukraine war: A win for incumbent President Joe Biden would likely ensure continuity in Washington’s support. A Donald Trump victory would complicate the equation, given the former president’s somewhat ambivalent position on the war and his personal history of ties with Mr Putin.
In the event of an American withdrawal of support to the region, Beijing could create more diplomatic space for itself and have more fodder to sell its vision for a more multipolar world.
China Russia Xi Jinping Vladimir Putin US Election
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