ASK ALLISTER: Why is the European model most accurate? | SaltWire

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ASK ALLISTER: Why is the European model most accurate? | SaltWire
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The European model, known as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), is an independent intergovernmental organization regarded for having a better resolution than other medium and long-range global models.

Forecast skill comparison of ECMWF, CMC and GFS over the past year. The ECMWF is consistently more accurate than the Canadian and American models. -Contributed/Dr. Ryan MaueWe hear and talk a lot about weather models, and Harold Macpherson sent me this note about one particular model.

“Now, to take this further, I saw on a regular forecast from New York forecasting rain that they referred to a European model for such a simple prediction. What’s the story here?”There are dozens of different weather models worldwide. In our country, we often hear most about global and regional models from Environment Canada, the U.S. National Weather Service and Europe.

However, we need to set some of that aside and remember that just because it’s one of the most accurate models, that doesn't mean it gets everything right. Models each have their own biases, and the European model is no exception, especially when it comes to wind and sometimes temperature.

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