World politics and power - the dates and trends that will help shape 2023 | Adam Boulton

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World politics and power - the dates and trends that will help shape 2023 | Adam Boulton
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We cannot foresee the epoch-defining shocks of the future but moving forward into the new year also involves reflecting on the hard lessons from the past.

The next reckoning with the voters in the US and the UK is set for 2024.

Both men have indicated that they intend to stand, even though Mr Trump would be 82 at the end of a second term and Mr Biden 86.In surveys he is the best placed Democrat to defeat Mr Trump, again, but he would lose to almost any other Republican.could yet be added to the fraud prosecutions of his businesses in New York City, and the FBI investigation into the illegal removal of documents from the White House.

Narrowly in control of the new 118th Congress, Republicans plan to launch investigations into the president and, especially, his errant son Hunter Biden.In the UK, after three Conservative prime ministers in a single year, Rishi Sunak ought to feel secure in his job until the election, but that is not the way the Conservative Party has done things recently.If the Tories do badly in the local elections on 4 May, a move to unseat the prime minister is a live possibility.

There is no sign that it will because the DUP is demanding the abandonment of the agreement with the EU concerning post-Brexit trade in Northern Ireland.

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