Rose Gottemoeller, the former deputy head of NATO, told Newsweek 'nobody knows' how Putin will react to Ukraine's counteroffensive.
Experts are divided over the likelihood of Putin resorting to nuclear weapons. The historian Thomas Ricks tweeted he believed there was a"25 percent chance" the Russian leader would, because"his back is to the wall." This message was retweeted by the retired U.S. general Barry McCaffrey, who said there was"clearly a danger" of a tactical nuclear strike by a"desperate Putin.
"Furthermore, a nuclear use by Russia against Ukraine would force China to abandon even tacit support of the Putin regime, which would be crippling for Russia in the medium to long-term."Brent M. Eastwood, Defense and National Security Editor for Washington, D.C.
Gottemoeller said that a humiliated Putin could turn to other measures such as plunging Ukraine into darkness over the winter, or stepping up strikes on civilian targets—a tactic the Kremlin has repeatedly denied it has undertaken, although international assessments assert the opposite. "It's not unlike the Iraqis in 1991 when we cut right through them. The Russian army is on the same sort of level as Saddam Hussein's motley crew," he told"However, they are still deadly, as we have seen with the missiles and artillery raining down on Kharkiv. They could still reorganize and stabilize the line. And so that's what Ukraine's got to be careful of."
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