Utah Republicans say low caucus turnout during this year's presidential preference poll. What does that mean for his chances in the 2024 presidential election? And will it impact down-ballot races?
Here’s what low Utah GOP turnout during the chaotic caucus night says — and doesn’t say — about the 2024 presidential election and down-ballot races.
While it’s difficult to glean much from the low Republican turnout, there are a few political nuggets. “Donald Trump still has a problem with more traditional, moderate Republican voters,” Steven Sylvester, a political science professor at Utah Valley University, said. “I don’t expect his numbers to improve from 2016 and 2020. I just think he’s got his solid base of supporters and not much beyond that,”says Donald Trump and Democrat Joe Biden have historically high unfavorable ratings as they barrel toward an electoral matchup in November, but those numbers are much more problematic for Trump.
“While a dismal turnout rate alone doesn’t explain dissatisfaction with Trump, coupled with polling data and exit survey, it’s hard not to conclude that there is considerably less enthusiasm for Trump amongst Republicans than he had in 2020 — a race that he lost.” “We have the presidential race, the governor’s race and an open Senate seat at the top of the ballot. I’d like to think that with those three, whatever issues Trump may have, whatever voter enthusiasm issues there are, those three races should counterbalance each other,” Sylvester said.
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