Why the worst banking mess since 2008 isn’t freaking out stock-market investors — yet
It will take more than the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in the midst of the worst banking mess since the 2008 financial crisis for stock-market investors to lose their cool.
“Investors are broadly assuming that regulators are going to step in and ringfence the sector if need be, and that’s what keeps it from spilling over to the broader market,” said Anastasia Amoroso, chief investment strategist at iCapital, in a phone interview. Deposits are “the epicenter of the crisis of confidence” in U.S. banks, said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco, in a phone interview. Anything that suggests there won’t be full protection for deposits is bound to worry investors in a charged environment.
Deposits across banks have been under pressure after the Federal Reserve began aggressively raising interest rates roughly a year ago. Since then, deposits at all domestic banks have fallen by $663 billion, or 3.9%, as money flowed into money-market funds and bonds, noted Paul Ashworth, chief North American economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday note.
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