Steve Benen is a producer for 'The Rachel Maddow Show,' the editor of MaddowBlog and an MSNBC political contributor. He's also the bestselling author of 'The Impostors: How Republicans Quit Governing and Seized American Politics.'
Ahead of Election Day 2022, Republicans were optimistic about their chances of taking back the U.S. Senate. The GOP only needed a net gain of one seat, and the party saw plenty of opportunities to pull it off. Sen. Rick Scott, the then-chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, boasted that his party had a path to a majority with 55 seats. That obviously didn’t happen.
But for all intents and purposes, the moment Manchin announced that he wouldn’t seek re-election, observers in both parties began working from the assumption that the senator had cleared the way for Republicans to flip his seat from “red” to “blue.” Ask officials from either party about the Senate landscape, and you’re likely to hear explanations for why the GOP’s advantage is so undeniable.
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