Why are California’s COVID hospitalizations reaching the summer peak with far fewer cases?

It doesn’t mean the current strain of the virus is more virulent. What’s happening is lower testing rates mean fewer cases are being tallied.

For the first time since July, California hospitals have topped daily totals of 5,000 patients with COVID, an alarming sign as cases continue to spike from Thanksgiving with the next round of holiday gatherings on the horizon.

“Last year we were dealing with an explosion of one disease,” said Dr. John Swartzberg, clinical professor emeritus of infectious diseases and vaccinology at UC Berkeley’s School of Public Health. “This year we’re dealing with a surge of three.” The good news: Three years in, and the pandemic hasn’t ended, but the risk of getting severely ill and dying from a COVID infection has dropped dramatically, thanks to vaccinations and therapeutics.“There’s no evidence that there’s increased virulence,” Swartzberg said, although he warns “there’s no guarantee that won’t be the case” with future variants.

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