How is this guy winning in a state Trump won by 26 points?
In two weeks, a Democrat stands a decent chance of being elected to a second term in the Republican stronghold of Kentucky. Gov. Andy Beshear,four years ago by just over 5,000 votes out of 1.4 million ballots cast, might beat the odds again in a state that Donald Trump carried by almost 26 points.
The Democratic Party’s collapse in states like Kentucky, which Bill Clinton carried twice, has put the party in an increasingly difficult position in the Electoral College and the Senate. No Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election there since 1992, and no Democratic presidential candidatethan 15 points to victory this century. Kentucky combines nearly every conceivable weakness for the modern party: It’s thein the share of residents between 25 and 34 years old .
Since that study’s release, the explanatory value of partisanship has only grown, to the point that many voters won’t acknowledge a strong economy at all if a president from the opposing party is overseeing it. Prior to the 2016 election, 81 percent of Republicans,, said the economy was getting worse. A week after Trump was elected, that number had dropped to 44 percent, while the share of Democrats saying the economy was getting better plummeted 15 points.
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