Gwynne Dyer: Where next in Ukraine? GwynneDyer The decisive factor in shaping this war has been the relatively small number of troops engaged on either side (subs)
LONDON, U.K.
—The recovery of the city of Kherson is the third big victory for the Ukrainian armed forces in three months: first, the reconquest of the province of Kharkiv Oblast in September, then the partial destruction of the Kerch Strait bridge linking Crimea with Russia in October, and now the liberation of Kherson. So where next?Enjoy unlimited website access and the digital newspaper.
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Evening Update: Zelensky visits liberated Kherson, touts ‘beginning of the end’ of Russia’s invasionAlso in the news today, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is left out in the cold as China’s Xi Jinping engages in a whirlwind of diplomacy at G20 leaders’ summit
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Zelenskyy: Battle for Kherson was D-Day-like watershedUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Tuesday likened the recapture of the southern city of Kherson to the Allied landings in France on D-Day in World War II, saying both were watersheds on the road to eventual victory.
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With Russia's retreat in Kherson, reports of abuses emergeUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Tuesday likened the recapture of the southern city of Kherson to the Allied landings in France on D-Day in World War II, saying both were watersheds on the road to eventual victory.
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Warmongers are watching the wrong channelOTTAWA—It has been nearly nine months since Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine. What was expected to be a lightning-strike armoured assault to capture Kyiv has turned into a long, drawn-out farcical rout of the Russian military. Last week, Putin’s senior defence officials went on Russian state television to announce they would be making a temporary tactical withdrawal from the Ukrainian city of Kherson. With Ukraine having successfully destroyed or damaged the major bridges, the Russian military can no longer supply and sustain the roughly 40,000 soldiers in their Kherson bridgehead on the west bank of the Dnipro River. The fate of those Russian troops will be determined in the days ahead, as Ukraine’s military continues to advance faster than the Russians can evacuate their forces back to the east bank of the Dnipro. Of the original Russian invasion force of 120,000 combat troops, United States intelligence estimates that nearly 90,000 Russians have thus far been killed, wounded, captured, or have deserted. To make up the loss of frontline combat capable units, Putin reluctantly ordered the mobilization of 300,000 ill-motivated reservists. In terms of equipment, Russian losses have been equally heavy, with shattered armoured vehicles littering the Ukraine landscape from Kyiv to Kharkiv to Kherson. To replenish this arsenal, Putin is able to tap into the vast fleets of moth-balled Soviet Union-era armoured vehicles. However, if the Russian first string of soldiers and weapons failed to defeat Ukraine’s forces, it is unlikely that these less-trained, less-motivated conscripts with antiquated tanks will somehow reverse the course of the war. The best result Putin can hope for now is to slow the Ukrainian counter offensive, dig in on the east bank of the Dnipro, and hope that crippling oil and gas shortages across western Europe force Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s allies to demand a negotiated settlement. While much of the cred
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