While President Donald Trump and Republicans are expected to move swiftly, the process takes time.
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., has already vowed that the Senate would hold a full vote on Trump's nominee, but the timing is unclear. The process of vetting a nominee is almost sure to push a full vote in the Senate to after the November election.
Even if Trump loses the White House and Republicans lose their slim 53-47 majority in the Senate on Nov. 3, McConnell could push ahead with a vote during the"lame duck" session between Election Day and a change of congressional power on Jan. 3.A tie could also be broken by Vice President Mike Pence, who can only cast a deciding vote with each party locked at 50.
One race in particular could shift the dynamics of passing Trump's nominee. Sen. Martha McSally, R-Ariz., is perhaps the most endangered Republicans in November and the outcome of her race could help dictate whether Republicans can muster the votes to pass a nominee. McSally was appointed to finish the term of the late Sen. John McCain, who died in 2018. If she is bested by Democratic challenger Mark Kelly, he could be sworn in to take over the seat as early as Nov. 30, two election-law attorneys toldAlready two Republicans have already said they will not support filling Ginsburg's vacancy before the election. Sens.
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