What Wall Street needs to know about UAW negotiations — and what they could cost

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What Wall Street needs to know about UAW negotiations — and what they could cost
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Contracts between the Detroit automakers and United Auto Workers union expire at 11:59 p.m. ET on Sept. 14.

The talks, which cover nearly 150,000 U.S. auto workers, could cost the automakers billions of dollars in additional labor costs, work stoppages or, in a worst-case scenario, both.

Here are the numbers investors should know ahead of the expiration date for current contracts between the Detroit automakers and UAW at 11:59 p.m. ET on Sept. 14.Contract proposals made by the UAW at this point would add more than $80 billion in labor costs for each of the biggest U.S.

That would be a significant increase over wage hikes seen during the previous four-year agreements, according to estimates from the Center for Automotive Research. The 2019 deals were projected toover the length of the contracts by $11 per worker for then-Fiat Chrysler, now Stellantis, and $8 per worker at GM and Ford.

In another analysis, Deutsche Bank previously estimated that a strike would hit earnings at each affected automaker by about $400 million to $500 million per week of production. Speaking in front of a backdrop of American-made vehicles and a UAW sign, President Joe Biden, then a presidential candidate, speaks about new proposals to protect U.S. jobs during a campaign stop in Warren, Michigan, Sept. 9, 2020.Strike pay is available after the eighth day of a work stoppage. A bonus check is paid the week prior to the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays. Members also must be in good standing with the union and participate in picket lines to receive the assistance.

S&P Global Mobility estimates a 10-week strike would mean lost production of roughly 1.5 million units, according to an investor note from Mizuho Securities USA.

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