In baseball, you just never know. (jonahkeri )
head into the 2019 season as long shots. It’s not hard to see why. The Jays went 73-89 last year. Tabulate their expected record based on them allowing 123 more runs than they scored, and a typical -123 club would’ve lost an ugly 94 games.
That’s where simulations come in. With the right inputs and the click of a button, a simulator can spit out results almost instantaneously, showing how your favourite team will fare. Again though, we’re not looking for broad estimates. We want to know if the Jays could possibly win the AL East under a perfect set of circumstances. And while we’re here, we want to know what those circumstances would be.
All told, the Jays scored more than 800 runs, punching up a huge 30 Wins Above Replacement from their hitters. Nine players hit double-digit HR, forming a deep and balanced lineup. All that despite disappointing production from youngsters like Teoscar Hernandez and Lourdes Gurriel Jr.Scenario 2:
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