'Erdogan enters his third decade in power newly resurgent after months of speculation about his political career ending in defeat. That risk has now passed, and the US will have to learn to deal with it.' -DanDePetris
Say what you want about Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, but the man keeps winning elections. Last weekend, the Turkish president bested his challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, in the second round of balloting by approximately 5 percentage points, Erdogan’s closest race in quite some time. With his latest victory, Erdogan retains his status as Turkey’s longest-serving head of state and continues his streak of consecutive wins at the polls — 11, to be exact.
The view of Erdogan as an inherently anti-Western nationalist is a strong one given his rhetoric, which can border on the conspiratorial . In reality, however, Erdogan isn’t so much anti-Western as he is pro-Turkey. His policies will reflect what he believes serve the best interests of the Turkish state.
We are therefore likely to see a continuation of the foreign policy balancing act Erdogan has nearly perfected during his time in power. That means leveraging Turkish power to attain concrete concessions, preserving as many foreign relationships as he can to maximize Turkey’s flexibility, and throwing the West a bone on occasion to remind its NATO allies that it can still be useful.
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