While many Latino voters are backing Bernie Sanders, a voter’s ethnicity was still found to be less predictive of support for him than their age or ideology.
Yes, as you have probably read, many of his supporters are young and identify as very liberal. But you can be old and liberal or young and moderate. So is Sanders exclusively the candidate of people who are both youngliberal, very liberal people of all ages, young people of all ideologies, or some other demographic? The answer, from our analysis of exit/entrance polls and other surveys, is … it’s complicated.
But he’s also popular, though not quite so overwhelmingly, with the nonoverlapping parts of these two groups. The entrance and exit polls in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada showed the Vermont senator either leading or tied at the top among voters under 45 who identify as somewhat liberal or moderate, and in New Hampshire and Nevada, he led with very liberal voters who are over age 45. (In Iowa, he was second only to Warren with older, very liberal voters.
The effects are mutually reinforcing. In fact, when we used ABC News/The Washington Post polls to test what types of people tended to be Sanders supporters, both being young and being very liberal strongly correlated with voting for Sanders — and what’s more, those effects did not diminish when we included them both in the model together, nor when we controlled for additional factors such as race, income and education.
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