Week 11 NFL picks: Will Kansas City charge past L.A.?

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Week 11 NFL picks: Will Kansas City charge past L.A.?
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The Kansas City-Chargers game was flexed into Sunday night, but it would’ve been great to see the Jets-Patriots rivalry taking center stage.

Cleveland-Buffalo in a made-for-TV snow globe game would've been fun, but that was moved to Detroit, anyway. No matter, Week 11 features intriguing matchups as the weather gets colder and playoff races start to heat up.

Underdogs went 9-5 against the spread last week and are 81-65-4 for the season. There are four more teams on the bye this week, including the entire state of Florida. My most confident picks ATS are Denver, the Jets, Pittsburgh and Washington. Stay away from the New Orleans-L.A. Rams game.It’s all right there for the Jets: Win Sunday and they’re in first place. Lose and they could fall to last place. The stakes couldn’t be higher in the franchise’s biggest game in over a decade. The Jets have lost 13 in a row to the Patriots, including a brutal 22-17 loss in Week 8 in which Zach Wilson threw three interceptions.

Last week both teams won the coin toss in overtime, but only one won the game. Now, Minnesota hosts Dallas in yep, you guessed it, a coin-flip game. It’s tempting to fade Minnesota again because this is a letdown spot after it won the game of the year. Then again, all it does is win close games: its seven-game win streak has been by 4, 3, 7, 8, 8, 3 and 3 points. Also, the Vikings are using outside doubt as fuel, and this point spread will only add to that fire.

I was going to take a shot with all these points in a division battle in a non-familiar location, but with the Cardinals possibly having to start their third-string quarterback, it’s too risky. San Francisco has enough stars on both sides of the ball to win by double digits.

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