We need new tools to predict climate risks | opinion
Each option — for instance “Middle of the Road”, where there is slow progress towards changes in environmental behaviour — sets out the projected impact on factors such as economic growth, population and technological development. Each narrative must be coupled with each possible end-of-century warming level.
Health impact: smoke from forest fires in Canada renders New York’s air quality the worst in the world in June 2023 © Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images We can build analytical tools that both keep track of uncertainties and make good use of the information that we do have From this knowledge, imperfect though it is, we can build analytical tools that both keep track of uncertainties and make good use of the information that we do have., for instance, try to add a probabilistic dimension to the SSP/RCP framework by combining our degree of ignorance with what we do know.
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