As the senior analyst at CoinDesk, James specializes in Bitcoin and the macro environment. His previous role as a research analyst at Swiss hedge fund Saidler & Co. introduced him to on-chain analytics. He monitors ETFs, spot and futures volumes, and flows to understand Bitcoin.
Consensus for headline inflation year-over-year is expected to increase by 0.2% to 2.6% — the first year-on-year increase since March 2024.
The issue of embedded inflation is not from headline but from core inflation, year-over-year. Early this year, we saw core come down from 3.9% to 3.2%. However, it turned higher in September to 3.3%, presenting a challenge to the Fed. So, with a spike in implied volatility and an expected increase in headline inflation YoY, could bitcoin see a dramatic price swing later today?Implied volatility for options contracts expiring one week from today has spiked from 40% to as high as 90% due to bitcoin's climb to $90,000, an increase of more than $20,000 since Nov. 6. Glassnode defines implied volatility as the market's expectation of volatility.
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