US midterms are a very unreliable way of predicting the next president

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US midterms are a very unreliable way of predicting the next president
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Analysis: 'The final results are not yet in but there are already some pointers as to the political mood in the US' | adamboultonTABB

The"expected" red wave was more of a ripple. There is almost always a backlash against a first-term president's party in the midterms but the Democrats fared much better under President Joe Biden than they did under Mr Obama or Mr Clinton.As Dominic Waghorn has reported here, Republican candidates endorsed by Donald Trump fared significantly worse than those who steered clear of him.

Dr Mehmet Oz the Republican senate candidate in Pennsylvania pointedly phoned Democrat John Fetterman to concede defeat. Mr Trump is said to be furious with his wife Melania for endorsing the TV doctor. Fox News From next January the lower house of Congress, the House of Representatives, will flip from Democrat to Republican. Kevin McCarthy will replace Nancy Pelosi as Speaker, the third-highest elected office in the US. A Republican House will most likely prevent President Biden from passing any further significant legislation. The investigation into the 6 January 2021 assault on the Capitol and Mr Trump's role in it will probably be shelved.

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