Understanding coup dynamics in West Africa - Most coups are inside jobs. But too little attention is generally paid to the internal incentive structure that faces would-be coup plotters
that most dictators are ultimately removed by government insiders, “such as other government members or members of the military or security forces”.
If an aspirant autocrat manages to grab power repeatedly at the expense of his coalition, he consolidates his autocracy, whereas frequent coups create contested autocracies. Both are bad news for governance. Coups, Military Rule and Autocratic Consolidation in Angola and Nigeria The glaring question was why Nigeria appeared susceptible to high coup frequency whereas Angola did not. almost to perfection. He eliminated all threats to his personal ambitions within the first six years of his rule and by 1985 had largely consolidated his rule. He also used the cover of civil war to consolidate his power base.
In Nigeria, no ruler other than Abacha pre-empted and eliminated internal threats. Post-independence , successive Nigerian rulers underestimated the threat of internal military uprisings. The research is also clear that coups beget coups, which the Mali case has shown quite plainly.
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