UFCVegas71 Beforemath: Can Blaydes avoid the early knockout? via BlaineHenryTFL
but, again, “The Super Samoan” is a heavy hitter like Ngannou and Lewis. Blaydes pulled that last win out.
We know Pavlovich has power and we know Blaydes can be knocked out, so let us look at the latter’s most vulnerable moment: that brutal knockout from Lewis. Pavlovich can be certain the takedown is coming. Blaydes is a wrestler by trade, and even though his hands are vastly improved, he will still come to wrestle, especially when he feels he is behind on the scorecards. All fights start on the feet, and to get to a takedown, Blaydes has to shoot.
Blaydes will not want to fool around on the feet for too long in this fight. He should want Pavlovich worried about the takedown from the beginning. Shooting could perhaps give Pavlovich PTSD from the Overeem fight and make him overcompensate for the takedown threat by keeping his hands low. This helps Blaydes soften up Pavlovich on the feet before a full-hearted takedown is attempted.
Boxing into a clinch situation like this, or against the fence even, will prevent any mishaps associated with Blaydes looking for his top game. His jab is good enough to be respected, and his right just has to find the mark. While Blaydes has not used the Thai clinch that often in the past, it would help him get to that top game and add another dynamic to his attempts.Once Overeem has Pavlovich controlled, he bullies around the Russian, wrenching him left and right.
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