European stocks and US futures extended a rally and the dollar retreated as traders bet inflation is near peaking even as policy makers ramp up hawkish rhetoric.
The Stoxx Europe 600 index climbed for a third day, with retailers and miners leading the advance and all major regional benchmarks in the green. Futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 rose, suggesting US stocks may add to last week’s gains. Treasury yields ticked lower. Crude oil turned higher along with industrial metals.
Investor focus is on August US inflation data due Tuesday, with headline CPI expected to cool to an 8 per cent a year pace while the core measure that excludes food and energy is seen accelerating. Traders almost fully expect another jumbo-sized Fed hike next week, following two 75-basis-point increases, and forward guidance by Fed officials has supported that view.
Hawkish remarks from Fed officials and recession worries have driven equities close to oversold levels before last week’s rebound. The Levkovich Index, a sentiment gauge, fell to -16, a hair away from the -17 level that defines panic. Bank of America Corp.’s bull-and-bear indicator slid to the “maximum bearish” level -- often seen as a contrarian buy signal.
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