Research shows a warming climate is expected to increase the likelihood of typhoons forming.
BANGKOK – South-east Asia could see higher-than-normal rainfall in the coming months, threatening further disruptions to agriculture, tourism, and industrial output in a region already hit by a series of storms in 2024.
Tourism-dependent Thailand is staring at a 30 billion baht bill in damages from a wave of flooding in the north, including in Chiang Mai, which forced the evacuation of around 100 elephants from a conservation center. And the Philippines, which sees around nine typhoons each year, is still reeling from several deadly storms in recent months, including Gaemi in July, Yagi in September, and Krathon in October.
Vietnam is forecast to see higher-than-average rainfall, including in the export-oriented and industry-heavy north, according to the country’s meteorological service. The country’s central region, another important industrial hub, could see as many as five flood events through March. “Tropical cyclones are going to get strong because the underlying theory is obvious: ocean temperatures are higher,” said Mr Benjamin Horton, director of the Earth Observatory of Singapore, who was involved in the research. “The warmer the oceans, the more energy there is for tropical cyclones to get bigger, and bigger, and bigger,” and places like Taiwan and Vietnam can expect to see more super typhoons.
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