Canada has been largely insulated from The Great Egg Shortage of 2022-2023, which has gripped the U.K., U.S., and in particular California for weeks. But the underlying drivers of this strange crisis are signs of trouble ahead at the grocery store.
Last Saturday, Kalliope Bell posted a picture of her California state lottery ticket on social media. “Well, we didn’t win again tonight,” she wrote. “So that means no more eggs.”
Global warming has left clearer fingerprints on other food shocks. In November, romaine and other lettuces briefly vanished from Ontario grocery stores in large part due to California’s mega-drought. The price of beef jumped last year because droughts forced ranchers to buy feed instead of letting cattle graze freely.
Soon after, federal officials said they had detected H5N1 in gulls from the area. By spring, the virus was ripping through poultry and egg farms, backyard flocks, and — unusually — wild bird populations. The strain has a 90 to 100 per cent mortality rate in chickens. The current avian flu outbreak is unprecedented both because of its breadth — it has criss-crossed the country at least twice, Sharif says — and because it is causing mass mortality events in wild birds. Biologists in Peru have reported 13,000 seabird deaths including beaches littered with thousands of dead pelicans. At least 50 bald eagles have died in Canada, according to a federal database.
Sharif stresses that it’s impossible to know if climate change played a role in the emergence of this outbreak. Other researchers have said that more research is needed to understand the interplay between global warming and avian flu. As most Canadians know from the news or their credit card statements, food inflation has been even worse than the already painful general “core” inflation rates. In December, while the annual rate of inflation was 6.3 per cent, falling for the fourth time in five months, food inflation remained higher than that “headline” number for the 13th straight month, at 11 per cent.
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