Tory wipeout and opposition until 2037 – the future facing a disunited right

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Tory wipeout and opposition until 2037 – the future facing a disunited right
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As things stand the real winner of this fight on the right will be Keir Starmer

Lee Anderson, right, with Richard Tice, leader of Reform UK party which the former Tory deputy chair joined after losing the whip . As one attendee put it on arrival: ‘There are almost as many Reform politicians as Tories’. Among those who turned up to raise a glass to the former prime minister were, the MP who recently defected from the Tories to Reform as well as the party’s current leader Richard Tice. Also present was Nigel Farage ally Andy Wigmore.

Next month’s local elections could add to nerves. Sunak critics are already trying to say the local election result will be better for the Tories than theas the representation of Reform is limited. The party is only standing candidates in 15 per cent of seats and offer no serious threat in Tees Valley where Tory metro Mayor

More far-reaching questions are being asked about where this leads in the medium term. Some in the Tory party believe a bad defeat could be required to convince MPs it needs the shock therapy treatment of a jolt to the right. The rhetoric from some in Reform is that the Tories must be burned down in order to make space for a new party.The example they use is the Canada wipe out in 1993.

But these things take time. In that Canadian election, it was the centre-left Liberals who won the landslide – and it stayed that way for some time. It did not herald a quick come back for the right. The progressive conservatives disappeared for good but what followed was nearly 13 years of the left being in power. And it took 18 years for a reunited right to form a majority government. Were that to be repeated in the UK it would mean the losing power until 2037 – with no majority until 2043.

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