[TOP STORY] Looking at Grindrod, Transnet, US inflation, jobs and interest rates

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[TOP STORY] Looking at Grindrod, Transnet, US inflation, jobs and interest rates
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[LISTEN] 'I think the Fed is still far from over-hiking; if they don’t get inflation under control the economy will go into recession' Mia Kruger – Kruger international on MoneywebNow with SimonPB. Download the podcast below. Moneyweb InterestRates

SIMON BROWN: I’m chatting now with Mia Kruger, director at Kruger International. Mia, let’s start with the home news, I suppose. Grindrod – a really strong update from them. Of course, [it’s] a very cyclical business. When commodities are booming, Grindrod kind of goes with it as well. But [those were] really good numbers coming through for what I think was a nine-month trading update.

Also, the company has streamlined the business, they’ve sold off their bank. It’s been something that they’ve wanted to do for quite some time. It has been approved by the Competition Commission to African Bank, which will make that a really interesting new player in the business banking space. I think it is small, but still sort of an interesting new addition. A good fit there.

Going offshore, we had the US inflation [news] yesterday. It did fall to 8.2% from 8.3%. Initially the market hated it, then the market loved it. The market truthfully is sometimes just a crazy, manic space. But in essence inflation’s coming down; it is slow and the Federal Reserve is going to continue raising rates. That to me is probably the key part of that data point.

The big issue here [that] I think the Fed keeps their focus on, and that the market really has latched on to as well, is the fact that the core inflation – which really includes services inflation, includes that housing or ‘shelter inflation’ that they refer to – that part of the inflation number has kept on creeping up. So we’ve seen a year-on-year increase of 6.

But overall I’m with you. I think that the Fed is still far from over hiking [interest rates]. They’ll definitely have to get this under control.

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