[TOP STORY] Bear markets typically last for less than a year

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[TOP STORY] Bear markets typically last for less than a year
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[LISTEN] The ‘stay put & stay invested’ refrain is important because you can make really bad decisions to your wealth creation if you [try to time the market]: Flagship Asset Management's PHundersmarck on MoneywebNOW bearmarket investing podcast

SIMON BROWN: I’m chatting now with Pieter Hundersmarck. He is portfolio manager at Flagship Asset Management. [You wrote an article entitled] ‘Six things about bear markets.’ Pieter, I appreciate your time today. The first two points are that they’re actually fairly common and they’re also usually fairly short in duration.

The analysis that we’ve done since 1928 shows that there have been 26 bear markets and 27 bull markets over that period. So that’s quite a number. SIMON BROWN: And duration – I said they are fairly short. They are typically less than a year in duration. PIETER HUNDERSMARCK: Absolutely. We sit here and we talk about percentages, but to everyone – the man on the street and sophisticated investors alike – you’re receiving a statement at the end of the month, and it [relates to] the number of units you own times a price, and it’s actually a rand value or a dollar value that has gone up in smoke. So it is really coming back to that emotional challenge.

SIMON BROWN: That is the key point. I appreciate it’s easy for you and I to sit there on a telephone call and say that the best course of advice is to stay put. You’ve mentioned that it’s hard to do when your net worth is going up in smoke. But that really is what to do, particularly if they happen quickly, particularly at the bottom. And we are probably not going to get to time it right.

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