The stakes are high because the candidate who comes out on top in Iowa — even by a tiny margin — goes into subsequent primaries with a gust of wind at his or her back.
, the first two states to vote, show four candidates bunched closely at the top — former Vice President Joe Biden, former Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., as well as Sanders of Vermont and Warren of Massachusetts. Even at this late date, more than half of Iowa Democrats are not certain whom they will back.on the Iowa debate stage by doing well in polls in South Carolina and Nevada, which vote in mid- and late-February and where most other candidates were not running television ads.
“We live in the most dangerous moment in a generation,” says the voice-over in a Biden ad in Iowa, which the campaign has updated to include references to the latest Iran news.Sanders comes into the Iowa debate on a roll. He lost Iowa by a whisker to Hillary Clinton in 2016 and believes he can win it this time. He may bring to the stage an intensifying effort to challenge Biden’s arguments that he is the safest choice to beat Trump and has the strongest foreign policy record.
“We all saw the impact of the factionalism in 2016, and we can’t have a repeat of that,” she told reporters in Iowa, referring to the bitter primary fight between Sanders and Hillary Clinton. “Democrats need to unite our party and that means pulling in all parts of the Democratic coalition.” That could give her an incentive to again go on the attack against her rivals in the debate — against Buttigieg for being too young and inexperienced; Biden for being a man of another era; Warren and Sanders for being too far left.
Compared with the last Iowa Poll in mid-November, support for Sanders had risen, Buttigieg dropped, while Biden and Warren remained stable. The Iowa Poll lead has been a trophy that has been passed around among the top four: The No. 1 candidate in the previous three polls were Biden, Warren and Buttigieg.
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