This Is a Particularly Bad Time for U.S.-Iran Tensions to Flare

This is a bad moment for an uptick in U.S. military conflict with Iran and its proxies. But here we are. natsecHeather writes

Destruction at Karbala Airport in the Iraqi shrine city, one of the areas targeted by U.S. military air strikes against a pro-Iranian group in Iraq.

The deaths of one British and two American soldiers on Wednesday were the first such fatalities since the December attack that prompted the U.S., in response, to kill top Iranian security official Qasem Soleimani as well as Iraqi militia figures. Notably, Wednesday was Soleimani’s birthday. Independent analysts aren’t so sure. The Century Foundation’s Dina Esfandiary predicted that tit-for-tat attacks will pick up again, telling me that “everyone got a little scared of how close we came to all-out war. But now that’s a distant memory.” Yes, in 2020, six weeks is a distant memory. Former Pentagon official Ilan Goldenberg told me that “the strike on Soleimani was supposed to ‘reestablish deterrence.’ It clearly has not.

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