The next big global race is the race for green tech - The great powers such as US and China will compete to be first with climate targets, but climate crises will spur their populations to demand change too
Climate change is the ultimate test of whether it is possible for countries both to compete for global dominance and collaborate to save the world. If the US and China cannot work together on this issue, they cannot work together anywhere. Together, the two powers are responsible for more thanHence, many worry that without Sino-American cooperation to reduce emissions, no meaningful progress will be made. We will all be doomed.
It is becoming increasingly obvious that there is little chance of one side coaxing the other to improve its performance through traditional diplomatic channels. The US strategy has three fundamental problems. The third problem is the most intractable. Even before Afghanistan, American power — hard and soft — was not what it used to be. US exhortations to China and other countries do not have the effect they once did.
The race for green tech will initially be about great-power rivalry. But self-preservation also will become a key factor. At what point will populations begin to see that climate inaction endangers them? How bad will conditions have to become before people demand radical change even in authoritarian states?
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