The maternal mortality sustainable development goals are unlikely to be met by 2050, study suggests NatureMedicine HarvardChanSPH maternal mortality sustainabledevelopmentgoals SDG healthequity study research health womenshealth
By Dr. Sanchari Sinha Dutta, Ph.D.Apr 21 2023Reviewed by Lily Ramsey, LLM A recent study published in the Nature Medicine Journal developed a Global Maternal Health microsimulation model to measure global maternal death incidence between 1990 and 2050.
However, many countries lack proper infrastructures to report maternal mortality. Misclassification is another major problem because many distinct conditions with diverse pathophysiology are associated with maternal mortality. Study model The Global Maternal Health microsimulation model simulated the reproductive histories of individual women belonging to 200 countries and territories, accounting for the educational background, geographical locations, family planning preferences, and previous maternal complications of individual women.
Although similar to the UN's, these estimates are significantly higher than the Global Burden of Disease . Unlike the individual-level structural simulation used in this study, UN and GBD estimates are based on aggregate-level regression models. Regarding the global maternal mortality ratio, the model predicted a reduction from 190 in 2022 to 167 in 2030 and 146 in 2050. According to the predictions, 105 and 142 countries are expected to have a maternal mortality ratio of less than 70 and 140, respectively, in 2030.
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