During the Trump administration, Texas Democrats have experienced a surge of new voters. Super Tuesday — and who the winning candidate is — could offer a look at where the state's party is headed, after more than two decades out of power.
A significant part of the state's growth has been domestic migration — people moving to Texas from other states. Most of the people moving to the Lone Star State have been coming from Democratic-leaning states, including California, New York and Illinois. Many are also moving from Florida, which is evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans.In particular, it's making Texas politics more like national politics.
Jim Henson, a pollster with the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin, said the state's Democratic voters have been shifting slightly more to the left as the national Democratic Party has become more liberal. "Despite what Texans often want to think, we are part of the rest of the country," Henson said."The national political shifts that we have seen happen elsewhere in the country are happening in Texas a little bit late."Democrats saw some fairly significant electoral gains in 2018. The party came closer to winning a U.S. Senate race than it had in decades, and it flipped several congressional and statehouse seats.
During the 2018 midterm elections, there was a huge surge in turnout in Texas, which has long had one of the lowest voter participation rates in the nation. In the March primaries that year, Democratic turnout in particularSome of those gains have been attributed to a rise in young people and people of color voting, both groups that skew toward Democrats in the voting booth..
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