Steve Kornacki’s Belmont Stakes Guide: Betting odds and predictions as horses head to Saratoga

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Steve Kornacki’s Belmont Stakes Guide: Betting odds and predictions as horses head to Saratoga
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Steve Kornacki, author of 'The Red and the Blue: 1990s and the Birth of Political Tribalism,' is a national political correspondent for NBC News and MSNBC.

Tough luck if you’re looking for historical trends and data points to help you pick a winner in Saturday’s Belmont Stakes. Just about everything about the last leg of the Triple Crown will be different this year. Because of a massive renovation project, the Belmont isn’t being held at its traditional Long Island home at Belmont Park.

Not only has Mindframe won both of his races, he won them in crushing style — a nearly 14-length romp in his first-ever race followed by a 7 ½-length score his next time out. And there’s the analytics. The Beyer Speed Figures use a formula that assigns a number value to every race that every horse runs, allowing for comparisons between horses who have run at different tracks under different conditions; the higher the number, the better the performance.

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