Follow 538 for live updates on the South Carolina, Nevada, North Dakota and Maine Democratic and Republican primary elections for U.S. Senate, U.S. House and governor.
In this 538 episode, 538's Galen Druke sits down with G. Elliott Morris, director of data analytics, to discuss the even odds between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.It's another packed primary day this Tuesday, as voters in South Carolina, Maine, North Dakota and Nevada weigh in on who will make the ballot this fall. We have our eyes on a slew of Republican primaries tonight, including several competitive contests for U.S.
In South Carolina, Rep. Nancy Mace's Trumpian pivot could cost her, as she faces off against an establishment-aligned primary challenger, while conservative Rep. William Timmons faces a challenger from even further to his right. Republican voters will also pick who will face off against endangered Democratic incumbents in battleground November contests, like Rep. Jared Golden's Republican-leaning seat in Maine and Rep. Susie Lee's blue-leaning seat outside Las Vegas.
As usual, 538 reporters and contributors will be live-blogging the election results as they come in. Follow along throughout the evening for up-to-the-minute vote counts and analysis!Welcome to 538's live blog of the South Carolina, Maine, North Dakota and Nevada primaries! The major action tonight is all on the GOP side, where we're tracking competitive primaries for U.S. House seats, a Nevada Senate seat and North Dakota's governor's mansion.
First polls close South Carolina at 7 p.m. Eastern, where tonight's GOP primaries are tantamount to election in three solidly red seats. Next up is Maine, where polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern and voters will decide which Republican will try to unseat Democratic incumbent Rep. Jared Golden in a red-leaning district. Polls will also close at 8 p.m. Eastern in most of North Dakota, where the GOP primaries will effectively determine the state's next governor and at-large U.S. representative.
Rounding out the evening, Nevada polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern. Republicans in the Silver State will choose their fighters to take on Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen in the state's battleground Senate election, along with three House districts that they're hoping to flip from blue to red this fall.
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