South Africa’s load shedding outlook for the next year

Even Eskom’s best-case scenario is pretty bad.

Eskom has presented its load shedding outlook for the 2022/23 summer period, which gives various scenarios for rolling blackouts through to August 2023.

The power utility also noted that there is a variance of around 4,000MW in unplanned outages, making it difficult to plan ahead. “There’s always a cone of uncertainty,” it said. Not only is this level of fuel spend completely unaffordable, but it is also not logistically or physically possible for the group to transport and use that much diesel. Eskom previously indicated that it can only use R2.4 billion worth of diesel a month.

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