South Africa’s current trajectory could put it in a very troubling position in seven years.
South Africa has approximately seven years to avoid becoming a failed state, according to economist and academic Professor Daniel Meyer., Meyer said that South Africa is currently a vulnerable state but could very easily become a failed state by 2030 – where crucial political and economic systems collapse to the point that the government loses all control.
Using his own methodologies, the professor determined that South Africa’s ‘failed state’ score is just under 5/10, pointing to a middling situation – but he stressed that the outlook is negative. In seven years, if the situation doesn’t improve, things could look a lot worse.
These include demographic pressures, loss of skill through the brain drain, and civil unrest among social indicators; inequality and rising poverty in the economic sectors; and a breakdown in public services, human rights, the rule of law and a growing class of factionalised elites when looking at state legitimacy.The latest index for 2022 ranks South Africa 79th out of 179 countries – where the higher the rank, the higher the risk of state failure.
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