South Africa: Governance Scenarios in South Africa - Growth Vs Stability?

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South Africa: Governance Scenarios in South Africa - Growth Vs Stability?
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Analysis - Two possible national coalitions (ANC-DA-IFP or ANC-MK) are a choice between economic growth and stability, with KZN as the sacrificial lamb.

Two possible national coalitions are a choice between economic growth and stability, with KZN as the sacrificial lamb.

To be sure, the ANC will continue to govern as the largest single party until our next elections in 2029, but it is a spent force. The reality is that Zuma wants to head the provincial government and consolidate his power base in KZN. That could mean the province is governed quite differently from the values and principles enshrined in the Constitution.

Decisions made in the next two weeks will determine the country's economic and developmental future for several years. Once that's done, Parliament must elect a new president, probably Ramaphosa,to the ANC. This will be a game of power politics, disinformation, threats and money. Given the extent of compromise required, the results would leave all parties - and likely voters - unhappy.

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