Shell’s exit from South Africa not a result of ANC-led government failures

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Shell’s exit from South Africa not a result of ANC-led government failures
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The Shell brand will likely not disappear, however. This has been the case wherever the oil major has divested.

There are forces at work that are way stronger than anything Luthuli House can throw at the economy.No matter the failings – or otherwise – of the ANC-led government, Shell was always going to divest its downstream operations in South Africa. There are forces at work that are way stronger than anything Luthuli House and its merry band of mismanagers can throw at an economy.

In 2016, it got rid of its Danish downstream assets and last year it disposed of downstream assets in Uruguay, Paraguay and Colombia .After “pausing” refinery operations at Sapref in March 2022 – and with little prospect that these will ever be restarted – it was clear that Shell’s remaining operations in the country were effectively on notice.

“However, in March 2017, in the context of regulatory uncertainty linked to clean fuels policies, Chevron announced the sale of its 75% owned refining and marketing affiliate to Chinese National Oil Company Sinopec for US$ 900m.“This opens the door for BP and Shell to sell their South African affiliates, which is expected in the short to medium term.

Petronas, which owned Engen – the largest petrol retailer in the country, announced last year that it would sell its 74% stake in the business to Vivo Energy. Vivo, memorably, was listed on the JSE for a short while. This business was built up over time by the purchase of service station networks across Africa, starting with the Shell transaction in 2011. At the end of last year, it owned over 2 700 sites on the continent.

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