Severe Storm Risks, Marginal to High, What Does it Mean?

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Severe Storm Risks, Marginal to High, What Does it Mean?
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With both an Enhanced and Moderate risk for DFW in the forecast for Thursday, it's a good time to revisit the SPC's risk categories. From marginal to high, what do they mean?

When severe thunderstorms move across North Texas, you'll likely hear references to the SPC risks such as"Slight,""Enhanced,""Moderate" or"High." But, you're asking,"What does that mean?"

"SPC" refers to the Storm Prediction Center, an office of the National Weather Service based in Norman, Oklahoma, that monitors severe weather threats across the United States. These threats include the potential for thunderstorms, hail, damaging wind and tornadoes but also for winter weather and wildfire outbreaks

When severe weather is possible, the SPC will issue color-coded risk categories over areas that represent the level of the perceived threat.A marginal risk means a risk of isolated severe thunderstorms that are expected to be limited in coverage and intensity. This is the lowest on the scale of severe thunderstorms.

The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one with wind gusts of at least 58 mph and/or hail to at least one inch in diameter and/or a tornado. All thunderstorm categories imply lightning and the potential for flooding. Categories are also tied to the probability of a severe weather event within 25 miles of your location.A slight risk means scattered severe thunderstorms are likely. This activity will be short-lived and not widespread.

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