The best way for Democrats to survive 2024’s lopsided Senate map is to get as many of their battle-tested incumbents as possible to run again
Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, it’s bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOP’s 10 in the next election cycle — many of them in red and purple territory. Against that backdrop, at least eight members ofcaucus are agonizing over whether to run again, and a couple hail from states that may be lost to the GOP if the incumbent bows out.
After cutting a huge deal on climate, health care and taxes with Schumer, Manchin is now watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. Early polls show a tough slog in West Virginia, and the centrist is still seeking to finish the energy permitting bill he pushed for this year. Of his future, Manchin said: “What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now.”
Still, Democrats’ best 2024 pick-up opportunities are probably Texas and Florida — not exactly fertile ground.of Arizona, could face a primary challenge from Rep. as well as a competitive general election. She has declined to divulge her plans and said in a statement she wants to focus “on keeping Mark Kelly in the Senate instead of starting the next campaign anytime soon.”
Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. | Mariam Zuhaib/AP Photo “The real question is, is what do we wake up to on November 9, or 10th? If some things are not yet settled, and then who wins or loses in Nevada. because some [Republicans] will lose. I hope some of them do because I want to keep Catherine Cortez Masto and Gov. Sisolak. And will they try again. ... Am I undecided? No I am all in. I’m definitely running.
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