NFL predictions, picks, and odds for New Orleans Saints vs Houston Texans. NFL Week 6 betting best bet and game analysis.
Dameon Pierce's workload has been ramping up, with no indication from the coaching staff that it's about to stop. Is the Saints' ostensibly tough run-D suppressing the Texans RB's line more than it should? Our NFL picks have the answers.A 34-0 win would normally be enough to win over the NFL betting markets, but the New Orleans Saints and theiropened New Orleans as big as a 2.
One thing Ryans highlighted was the game of musical chairs on the Texans offensive line, which has impacted the run blocking for Pierce. There have been five different looks across the o-line, but tackles Laremy Tunsil and Tytus Howard returned last week, providing needed consistency in this new zone-blocking scheme from offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik.
Pierce’s player projections for this matchup are well north of that number with models calling for at least 62 yards with a ceiling closer to 80 yards from some sources. My number isn’t as bullish, but has Pierce pegged for just shy of 70 yards rushing. My power ratings produced an unadjusted line closer to Saints -5, but there are a few factors bringing this spread down besides play on the home team.
The Saints will be a solid test for the rookie, given the New Orleans secondary ranks No. 6 in EPA allowed per dropback and limits foes to a 39.9% success rate when throwing the football. The Saints could also be the team to finally pick Stroud off, coming into Week 6 with seven interceptions on the season so far.
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