SA social unrest and implications for national security

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SA social unrest and implications for national security
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If the events of the past few days had been a conventional war SA would be in dire straits

People looting a shop in Durban flee from a policeman on July 12 2021 as riots continue, under the hashtags #FreeJacobZuma and #KZNShutdown on social media, in KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng. Picture: SANDILE NDLOVU

In a dark and hypothetical scenario of war, SA’s national security would have been devastatingly imperilled. The security cluster fumbled for days before convening a press conference that did little to allay national anxiety or assure the citizenry that a well co-ordinated plan would be executed in urgent fashion.

Geography may be a saving grace in the case of a hypothetical war. Alternatively, if SA was situated in a volatile region with hostile enemy states of equal or higher military capabilities or hard power resources, the likelihood of invasion would have been veritably multiplied.

For a keen observer with nefarious interests the gaps in national security strategy, the slow response of security actors to regain control amid spiralling disorder, and the disconnect between intelligence and operational dimensions are weaknesses that could be exploited in a potential invasion.

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