Analysis - In three years, the Rwandan contingent in Mozambique has grown dramatically and expanded its operations across five districts.
In three years, the Rwanda n contingent in Mozambique has grown dramatically and expanded its operations across five districts.
These enterprises are key for Mozambique's economic development, and were threatened by the terrorist attacks. Deploying the Rwandan forces to these areas created the impression that their purpose was to protect these vital economic assets rather than meet the official mission objectives. At the end of 2023, in somewhat triumphalist speeches, Mozambican military commanders claimed that with the help of Rwandan forces, security had beenHowever, this was an exaggeration. Although weakened, the terrorist threat is far from over.
This has led security analysts to question the long-term strategy of Rwandan forces in Cabo Delgado. 'Today Mozambique is vulnerable to Rwandan power,' says Calton Cadeado, a Mozambican security studies expert and researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies at Joaquim Chissano University in Maputo. 'It happens because Rwanda has a privileged space in Mozambique's security infrastructure and even in the economic projects of gas exploration.
This scepticism is not unfounded. As time goes by, Rwandan security forces have become a presence in more and more districts in Cabo Delgado, conducting operations that Mozambican troops should perform. Moreover, three years after their deployment, there is still no clarity on when they will withdraw.
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